◆ QUANTITATIVE SPORTS TRADING ◆

We don't bet. We trade probability. Algorithms, backtests and machine learning models running simultaneous positions across tennis, cricket and beyond.

ATP.SF.MATCH_ODDS ▲ 1.42 T20.IND.INNINGS_RUNS ▼ 168.5 WTA.QF.SET2 ▲ 2.08 ODI.ENG.TOTAL ▲ 291.5 EPL.OU2.5 ▼ 1.86 ATP.R16.TIEBREAK ▲ 3.10 BBL.POWERPLAY ▼ 44.5 MODEL.EDGE ▲ +4.2%
▼ DIG DEEPER

Not Betting. Pure Math.

Ninja Dice is a quantitative trading firm that happens to trade sports markets. No gut feelings, no fan loyalty, no lucky streaks. Every position is the output of a model.

We treat odds like mispriced assets. When our estimated probability diverges from the market's implied probability, that's edge, and we mine it systematically, across many markets and many sports at once.

Diversification does the rest: simultaneous, uncorrelated positions across tennis, cricket and more mean no single match ever decides our fate.

⚒ HOW WE MINE EDGE

  • Estimate true probabilities with statistical models
  • Compare against market-implied odds
  • Size positions with strict risk rules
  • Execute across sports simultaneously
  • Backtest everything before it goes live
⚒ CRAFTING TABLE

The Craft

Four blocks, one machine. Everything we run is researched, tested and automated.

BACKTESTING

Every strategy is replayed against years of historical odds and match data before a single unit is risked live.

ML MODELS

Machine learning models trained on rich feature sets (form, surface, conditions, in-play state) to estimate true probabilities.

MULTI-SPORT

Simultaneous positions across different sports and markets at once. Diversification is our armor enchantment.

RISK CONTROL

Strict sizing, exposure limits and drawdown rules. We respawn with our inventory intact, always.

🗺 BIOMES WE TRADE

Markets

Liquid, data-rich sports markets where models beat instincts.

LIVE 🎾

TENNIS

Point-by-point in-play models across ATP, WTA and challengers.

LIVE 🏏

CRICKET

Innings, totals and match odds across T20, ODI and test formats.

RESEARCH

FOOTBALL

Goal-market models in backtest, graduating to live soon.

EXPANDING 🧱

NEW CHUNKS

New sports load in as the data and the edge prove out.

◆ PLAYER STATS

The Edge

Small edges, compounded relentlessly across thousands of independent markets.

1000sof markets analyzed daily
24/7automated execution
100%model-driven, zero gut calls
0positions taken on vibes
EDGE XP: LEVEL 30
◆ MULTIPLAYER ◆

Join The Server

Partner, invest, or build models with us. If you think in probabilities, you'll fit right in.

✉ Get In Touch